NFL Power Rankings: Week 5, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 5, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 11 places since last week)LAC62.7%
2 (down 1 place since last week)IND62.0%
3 (up 4 places since last week)DET60.7%
4 (up 17 places since last week)ATL60.7%
5 (up 14 places since last week)LAR59.3%
6 (up 10 places since last week)SEA58.0%
7 (down 5 places since last week)KAN58.0%
8 (down 2 places since last week)SFO58.0%
9 (up 1 place since last week)PIT58.0%
10 (down 7 places since last week)BUF55.3%
11 (up 3 places since last week)BAL55.3%
12 (down 8 places since last week)GNB54.7%
13 (up 5 places since last week)MIN54.7%
14 (down 5 places since last week)JAX54.0%
15 (down 4 places since last week)CAR53.3%
16 (up 10 places since last week)DAL52.7%
17 (down 9 places since last week)LVR52.7%
18 (down 5 places since last week)CHI52.0%
19 (up 8 places since last week)TAM52.0%
20 (up 10 places since last week)NYJ50.0%
21 (down 4 places since last week)NWE49.3%
22 (up 7 places since last week)HOU47.3%
23 (down 18 places since last week)PHI46.7%
24 (up 1 place since last week)DEN46.0%
25 (up 3 places since last week)NYG45.3%
26 (down 11 places since last week)MIA44.7%
27 (down 5 places since last week)CLE44.0%
28 (down 4 places since last week)ARI43.3%
29 (up 2 places since last week)NOR42.0%
30 (down 10 places since last week)WAS40.0%
31 (down 8 places since last week)CIN34.7%
32 (no change since last week)TEN23.3%