2025

Week 5

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	111up 11 positions	0.63
Indianapolis Colts	IND	21down 1 positions	0.62
Detroit Lions	DET	34up 4 positions	0.61
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	417up 17 positions	0.61
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	514up 14 positions	0.59
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	610up 10 positions	0.58
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	75down 5 positions	0.58
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	82down 2 positions	0.58
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	91up 1 positions	0.58
Buffalo Bills	BUF	107down 7 positions	0.55
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	113up 3 positions	0.55
Green Bay Packers	GNB	128down 8 positions	0.55
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	135up 5 positions	0.55
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	145down 5 positions	0.54
Carolina Panthers	CAR	154down 4 positions	0.53
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1610up 10 positions	0.53
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	179down 9 positions	0.53
Chicago Bears	CHI	185down 5 positions	0.52
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	198up 8 positions	0.52
New York Jets	NYJ	2010up 10 positions	0.50
New England Patriots	NWE	214down 4 positions	0.49
Houston Texans	HOU	227up 7 positions	0.47
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	2318down 18 positions	0.47
Denver Broncos	DEN	241up 1 positions	0.46
New York Giants	NYG	253up 3 positions	0.45
Miami Dolphins	MIA	2611down 11 positions	0.45
Cleveland Browns	CLE	275down 5 positions	0.44
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	284down 4 positions	0.43
New Orleans Saints	NOR	292up 2 positions	0.42
Washington Commanders	WAS	3010down 10 positions	0.40
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	318down 8 positions	0.35
Tennessee Titans	TEN	32no change	0.23