NFL Power Rankings: Week 14, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 77.6% |
| 2 (up 4 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 74.4% |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 72.6% |
| 4 (down 2 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 72.6% |
| 5 (no change since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 70.6% |
| 6 (down 2 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 67.2% |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 64.2% |
| 8 (up 4 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 61.6% |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 61.6% |
| 10 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 59.4% |
| 11 (down 4 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 58.0% |
| 12 (down 1 place since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 57.0% |
| 13 (up 4 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 55.4% |
| 14 (down 1 place since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 54.2% |
| 15 (no change since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 54.0% |
| 16 (down 2 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 53.6% |
| 17 (down 1 place since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 52.2% |
| 18 (no change since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 51.4% |
| 19 (up 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 50.0% |
| 20 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 49.4% |
| 21 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 47.8% |
| 22 (up 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 46.2% |
| 23 (down 1 place since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 44.0% |
| 24 (up 2 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 39.8% |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 38.6% |
| 26 (down 2 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 36.6% |
| 27 (up 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 36.0% |
| 28 (up 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 35.6% |
| 29 (down 2 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 35.4% |
| 30 (no change since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 33.6% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 32.6% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 21.2% |