NFL Power Rankings: Super Bowl, 2025
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 73.3% |
| 2 (down 1 place since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 73.3% |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 72.7% |
| 4 (no change since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 70.0% |
| 5 (up 4 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 68.0% |
| 6 (up 2 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 67.3% |
| 7 (down 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 64.7% |
| 8 (up 3 places since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 61.3% |
| 9 (down 4 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 60.7% |
| 10 (down 3 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 59.3% |
| 11 (up 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 58.0% |
| 12 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 57.3% |
| 13 (no change since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 56.7% |
| 14 (up 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 54.7% |
| 15 (up 5 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 52.7% |
| 16 (up 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 52.0% |
| 17 (up 4 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 48.7% |
| 18 (down 1 place since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 48.0% |
| 19 (down 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 47.3% |
| 20 (up 3 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 47.3% |
| 21 (up 6 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 47.3% |
| 22 (up 7 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 46.7% |
| 23 (down 13 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 45.3% |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 45.3% |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 44.0% |
| 26 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 40.7% |
| 27 (down 5 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 40.0% |
| 28 (down 12 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 40.0% |
| 29 (down 1 place since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 38.7% |
| 30 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 32.7% |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 30.0% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 26.7% |