2023

Wild Card

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1no change	0.76
Detroit Lions	DET	2no change	0.69
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	3no change	0.68
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	41up 1 positions	0.68
Miami Dolphins	MIA	51down 1 positions	0.65
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	61up 1 positions	0.64
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	72up 2 positions	0.60
Buffalo Bills	BUF	82down 2 positions	0.57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	94up 4 positions	0.56
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	105up 5 positions	0.55
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	118up 8 positions	0.53
Indianapolis Colts	IND	1217up 17 positions	0.53
New Orleans Saints	NOR	137up 7 positions	0.52
Houston Texans	HOU	143up 3 positions	0.52
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	153down 3 positions	0.52
Denver Broncos	DEN	167up 7 positions	0.50
Chicago Bears	CHI	179down 9 positions	0.49
Green Bay Packers	GNB	18no change	0.49
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	198down 8 positions	0.49
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	206down 6 positions	0.48
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	214up 4 positions	0.47
Cleveland Browns	CLE	2212down 12 positions	0.44
Tennessee Titans	TEN	234up 4 positions	0.44
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	243down 3 positions	0.43
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	259down 9 positions	0.43
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	262up 2 positions	0.42
New York Jets	NYJ	273down 3 positions	0.33
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	286down 6 positions	0.32
Carolina Panthers	CAR	293down 3 positions	0.32
New York Giants	NYG	301up 1 positions	0.31
Washington Commanders	WAS	311down 1 positions	0.31
New England Patriots	NWE	32no change	0.26