NFL Power Rankings: Wild Card, 2023
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 76.0% |
| 2 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 69.0% |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 68.0% |
| 4 (up 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 68.0% |
| 5 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 65.0% |
| 6 (up 1 place since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 64.0% |
| 7 (up 2 places since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 60.0% |
| 8 (down 2 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 57.0% |
| 9 (up 4 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 56.0% |
| 10 (up 5 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 55.0% |
| 11 (up 8 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 53.0% |
| 12 (up 17 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 53.0% |
| 13 (up 7 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 52.0% |
| 14 (up 3 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 52.0% |
| 15 (down 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 52.0% |
| 16 (up 7 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 50.0% |
| 17 (down 9 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 49.0% |
| 18 (no change since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 49.0% |
| 19 (down 8 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 49.0% |
| 20 (down 6 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 48.0% |
| 21 (up 4 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 47.0% |
| 22 (down 12 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 44.0% |
| 23 (up 4 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 44.0% |
| 24 (down 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 43.0% |
| 25 (down 9 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 43.0% |
| 26 (up 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 42.0% |
| 27 (down 3 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 33.0% |
| 28 (down 6 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 32.0% |
| 29 (down 3 places since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 32.0% |
| 30 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 31.0% |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 31.0% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 26.0% |