2023

Wild Card

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1	0.76
Detroit Lions	DET	2	0.69
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	3	0.68
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	41	0.68
Miami Dolphins	MIA	51	0.65
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	61	0.64
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	72	0.60
Buffalo Bills	BUF	82	0.57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	94	0.56
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	105	0.55
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	118	0.53
Indianapolis Colts	IND	1217	0.53
New Orleans Saints	NOR	137	0.52
Houston Texans	HOU	143	0.52
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	153	0.52
Denver Broncos	DEN	167	0.50
Chicago Bears	CHI	179	0.49
Green Bay Packers	GNB	18	0.49
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	198	0.49
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	206	0.48
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	214	0.47
Cleveland Browns	CLE	2212	0.44
Tennessee Titans	TEN	234	0.44
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	243	0.43
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	259	0.43
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	262	0.42
New York Jets	NYJ	273	0.33
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	286	0.32
Carolina Panthers	CAR	293	0.32
New York Giants	NYG	301	0.31
Washington Commanders	WAS	311	0.31
New England Patriots	NWE	32	0.26