NFL Power Rankings: Divisional, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Divisional, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)PHI71.0%
2 (up 3 places since last week)DAL70.0%
3 (down 2 places since last week)BUF68.0%
4 (up 4 places since last week)KAN65.0%
5 (down 2 places since last week)CIN59.0%
6 (up 1 place since last week)SFO59.0%
7 (up 5 places since last week)NYG59.0%
8 (up 15 places since last week)BAL58.0%
9 (no change since last week)SEA56.0%
10 (up 6 places since last week)NYJ55.0%
11 (up 13 places since last week)CLE53.0%
12 (up 7 places since last week)NOR52.0%
13 (up 17 places since last week)CHI52.0%
14 (up 4 places since last week)LAR51.0%
15 (down 1 place since last week)DET50.0%
16 (up 6 places since last week)JAX49.0%
17 (down 2 places since last week)MIN49.0%
18 (down 8 places since last week)NWE48.0%
19 (down 13 places since last week)MIA48.0%
20 (up 8 places since last week)ATL47.0%
21 (down 10 places since last week)LAC47.0%
22 (down 2 places since last week)PIT46.0%
23 (down 2 places since last week)WAS45.0%
24 (down 11 places since last week)LVR44.0%
25 (up 4 places since last week)DEN43.0%
26 (down 22 places since last week)GNB40.0%
27 (down 2 places since last week)TAM40.0%
28 (down 2 places since last week)TEN38.0%
29 (down 2 places since last week)CAR34.0%
30 (down 13 places since last week)ARI33.0%
31 (no change since last week)IND27.0%
32 (no change since last week)HOU24.0%