NFL Power Rankings: Week 4, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 85.0% |
| 2 |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 78.2% |
| 3 |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 75.4% |
| 4 |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 72.0% |
| 5 |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 66.4% |
| 6 |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 66.2% |
| 7 |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 63.0% |
| 8 |  Chicago BearsCHI | 60.0% |
| 9 |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 59.4% |
| 10 |  Denver BroncosDEN | 56.2% |
| 11 |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 54.8% |
| 12 |  Detroit LionsDET | 54.6% |
| 13 |  New York JetsNYJ | 54.0% |
| 14 |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 53.8% |
| 15 |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 50.8% |
| 16 |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 50.4% |
| 17 |  Houston TexansHOU | 49.8% |
| 18 |  New York GiantsNYG | 49.2% |
| 19 |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 49.2% |
| 20 |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 47.8% |
| 21 |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 46.6% |
| 22 |  New England PatriotsNWE | 46.2% |
| 23 |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 44.8% |
| 24 |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 43.0% |
| 25 |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 40.6% |
| 26 |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 39.0% |
| 27 |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 37.4% |
| 28 |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 37.2% |
| 29 |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 37.0% |
| 30 |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 36.8% |
| 31 |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 35.8% |
| 32 |  Washington CommandersWAS | 35.2% |